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67 NFL Mocks: Luke Joeckel new projected top pick

Written by Mark Buterbaugh on . Posted in NFL Draft

The NFL Mock Draft Database is updated several times per week and now lists a whopping 305 mock drafts, an increase of 19 mock drafts since the last mock munch.  For this week's mock munch, we munched together all NFL mock drafts updated between February 21, 2013 and February 25, 2013, that is a total of 67 mock drafts!   By munching them together, we come up with leaders based upon an average of the most updated mock drafts out there. 

These mock drafts range from major sports media, to fan networks, to newspaper media, and to fan bloggers.  It's OK to be skeptical.  Their just mock drafts.  Their just opinions.  However, our mock draft consensus was pretty accurate last year.  So were many mock drafts.  Many of these are based on inside sources and team connections that may know a team's specific and general thinking of player rankings. So take it for what it is worth and what you value it to be. 

We track the total percent of mock drafts projecting the Top 6 picks and the change in percentage from the last update.   Here are the Top 6 picks

TEAM PROJ PICK %  MOCKS CHANGE RUNNER UP
1. Kansas City OT Luke Joeckel 59% NEW Smith
2. Jacksonville DE Werner/OT Lotulelei 25% TIE Moore
3. Oakland DT Sharrif Floyd 27% NEW Lotulelei
4. Philadelphia OT Luke Joeckel 30% -14% Fisher
5. Detroit DE Bjoern Werner 31% NEW Milliner
6. Cleveland DE Ezekiel Ansah 14% NEW Mingo

DATABASE TRENDS:

The Top 6 projection has been shaken up from the top slot the whole way through.  That will likely continue through the NFL Combine.  Five of the Top six slots see new leaders projected.  We also have a new first overall draft choice projection in OT Luke Joeckel.  Since we started munch mock drafts in December, West Virginia QB Geno Smith has been the projected top overall pick.  No more.  Any by a large shift as well.  In fact, many mock drafts have Smith falling out of the Top 6.  Last mock munch, over 50% of the mock projected Smith to the Chiefs.  Now, 59% of the mock drafts project the Texas A & M offensive tackle to the Chiefs.   The second overall pick is a tie between OT Star Lotulelei and DE Bjoern Werner.   Will be interesting to watch what kind of impact the Lotulelei health news has on mock draft writers.  Lotulelei was held back with an irregular heart test, but has since been cleared.  Will there bve an impact?   There are also new projections at the third slot with a relative new comer to the Top 6, DT Sharrif Floyd.  Floyd now leads to the Raiders with 27% of projections.  23 of the 69 mock drafts project Floyd between #2 and #4.  Steadily, DE Ezekiel Ansah continues to get projection at the sixth overall slot and now barely leaders there.  The sixth pick is pretty evenly projected between 5 players, Anmsah (10), LB Barkevious Mingo (9), LB Jarvis Jones (9), CB Dee Milliner (8), and DE Dion Jordan (7). 

OTHERS NOT LISTED:

 DE Dion Jordan is a growing favorite between the 2nd and 6th overall slots.  34 of the 67 mocks project DE Damontre Moore to go 2nd to 4th overall.  QB Geno Smith, who has led the mock munch since December, until this week, seems to be fading out of the Top 6.  OT Eric Fisher gets 22 projections between 4th and 5th overall. 

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