NFL Mock Draft Munch: Geno Smith still projected #1
The NFL Mock Draft Database has grown to 266 mock drafts for the 2013 NFL Draft. For this week's mock munch, we munched together all NFL mock drafts updated between January 31, 2013 and February 4, 2013, that is a total of 64 mock drafts! By munching them together, we come up with leaders based upon an average of the most updated mock drafts out there.
These mock drafts range from major sports media, to fan networks, to newspaper media, and to fan bloggers. It's OK to be skeptical. Their just mock drafts. Their just opinions. However, our mock draft consensus was pretty accurate last year. So were many mock drafts. Many of these are based on inside sources and team connections that may know a team's specific and general thinking of player rankings. So take it for what it is worth and what you value it to be.
We track the total percent of mock drafts projecting the Top 6 picks and the change in percentage from the last update. Here are the Top 6 picks
| TEAM | PROJ PICK | % MOCKS | CHANGE | RUNNER UP |
| 1. Kansas City | QB Geno Smith | 57% | +9% | Joeckel |
| 2. Jacksonville | DE Bjoern Werner | 33% | NEW | Moore |
| 3. Oakland | DT Star Lotulelei | 33% | -20% | Moore |
| 4. Philadelphia | OT Luke Joeckel | 53% | +4% | Fisher |
| 5. Detroit | DE Bjoern Werner | 33% | +6% | Milliner |
| 6. Cleveland | LB Jarvis Jones | 25% | +6% | Mingo |
DATABASE TRENDS:
Back a few weeks ago, we had two projections OVER 70%, Geno Smith at #1 and OT Luke Jockel at #43. Both players are still projected the leaders at those respective slots, but they are in the 50% range instead of high 70%. Geno Smith did gain 4% this week to solify at the top spot at over 50%, with 57%. Joeckel continues to also get projections at #1 overall, garnering 22 of the 64 mocks at #1.
DE Bjoern Werner takes over the lead at the #2 slot from DE Damontre Moore. 21 of the 64 mocks project Werner to go to Jacksonville. Moore is still a popular choice among mock writers for being a top 6 pick. 52 of the 64 mocks project Moore to fall between 2nd and 6th overall, although he leads at none of the six top spots.
KEEP AN EYE ON:
The NFL Combine tends to change mock drafts often. That is coming up. We are starting to see some players getting increasingly mentioned in the Top 6. OT Eric Fisher is increasingly being slotted at #4 to the Eagles. 10 moc ks now project him there, where before, he was rarely mentioned. LB Barkevious Mingo is picking up projections at #6 as week. Keep an eye on that.
The NFL Combine is February 23 to February 26. Things will change in these projections then. They always do. It was rare to see QB Robert Griffin III slotted in the Top 5 before the NFL Combine last year. He skyrocketed up with an impressive Combine. There will alos be players you see mentioned in the Top 10 likely plummet based on the Combine. So sit back and enjoy the lead up to the NFL Draft.
